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We're truly witnessing an extraordinary paradigm shift in human history.

by Geee 6y ago

onepointsixC 6y ago
How so? Bitcoin's excitement comes entirely from its value in fiat, as opposed to regular usage in daily life.
- BLKNSLVR 6y ago
  Bitcoin as the gateway to Ethereum and the possibilities opened up by smart contacts such as the currently embryonic DeFi market. Paradigm shift isn't too strong a terminology.
  - Cthulhu_ 6y ago
    While ETH is cool technology, I haven't seen it impact my personal life in any way yet. That might just be my sheltered life though.
    - bhupy 6y ago
      I've only just begun to wrap my head around all of this, and I tried playing with some of the DeFi lending platforms built on top of Ethereum. It has its kinks, but I think on the net it's a remarkably cool thing. I was able to lend $50 (overcollateralized) at 12% APY without any central institution. The only real wrinkle has been the insane transaction fees: it cost me about $80 to execute the "smart contract" for the $50 12% APY loan. That said, this is a flat cost, and I can very much see the value in paying $80 in transaction costs to be able to lend $50,000 or $500,000 at 12% APY. It also very much feels like "mainframe" days of computing where everything was expensive and impractical, but it was just the beginning. For the time being, I continue to keep my money safely parked in index funds, but one can get a first hand look at the potential for Eth/DeFi by testing small(ish) transactions out.
      - cwkoss 6y ago
        Is the loan secured to anything? What is the incentive for the borrower to repay this loan?
        bhupy 6y ago
        Yeah it's "overcollateralized". The borrower has to put 150% of the principal into escrow (this is enforced by the smart contract). If the borrower decides to flake, the lender gets to take the collateral.
        opportune 6y ago
        Just curious, from the perspective of the borrower, what is the purpose of an overcollateralized loan? If their collateral is just as liquid as their loan, why even take the loan at all?
        bhupy 6y ago
        Super good question, I was perplexed by this myself. Basically what this financial instrument allows the borrower to do is maintain exposure to appreciating crypto assets while still leveraging its value for day to day spending. For example, suppose you owned $1500 worth of BTC. Suppose you’re also bullish on BTC and expect it to appreciate, say 2x in a year. If you liquidated the $1500 to buy a MacBook or something, you’d lose out on that appreciation. Instead, I can lend you $1000 in cash, and you can put your $1500 as collateral (150%). A year later, you pay me back $1120, and then take back your BTC collateral; except by then it may have doubled in value to $3000 (let’s say). In fact, as long as BTC appreciates by at least 12%, the loan pays for itself. As the lender, I am essentially enabling HODLers by providing them liquidity (in the form of stablecoins). Of course downside for the lender is that the buyer could bail AND the collateral could plunge in value.
        graeme 6y ago
        What use case does that have other than crypto currency speculation though? Most loans serve some sort of function in the economy.
    - BLKNSLVR 6y ago
      Even if you said Bitcoin hasn't affected your personal life you'd be in a vast majority, and Bitcoin has got a few years on Ethereum. It really is nascent; embryonic. Personally, I think it's future-defining technology that's being created, but it's a decade at least from reaching common acceptance and use. Cultural change is long and slow, it's one of those things that doesn't change until the status quo generations die off and are replaced, and there's a good couple of generations that don't even know of / care about / understand bitcoin nevermind smart contracts and decentralised finance. I don't understand the absolute fundamentals, but I understand the implications. Long term change, generationally slow migration.
  - graeme 6y ago
    What are some use cases? Someone downthread mentioned loaning money where 150% of the money is put in escrow as collateral. This didn’t make any sense to me. But some of the smartest people I follow are hyped about Defi. So....what can you do with it? Or could you do if adopted.
    - Geee 6y ago
      There aren't any use cases afaik. Ethereum is a casino and DeFi is just a new exciting game in the casino.
- mrpopo 6y ago
  That's so amazing to me. Most of the Bitcoin memes are about dudes who get rich selling half of their stash and buying a lambo with fiat. How is this gonna change human history more than dudes getting rich selling some stock?
- fogihujy 6y ago
  This. Cryptocurrencies in general seem to have potential for being used in day-to-day transactions in the future, but Bitcoin itself mostly seem to be used to store value. The planned limit on the total amount of Bitcoin in circulation, transaction fees and long transaction times seem to be quite a blocker for using it to buy a cup of coffee.
  - Geee 6y ago
    Money has to be first established as a store of value, before it can be used as a medium of exchange. As Bitcoin finds a more stable price point, it will become more interesting as a medium of exchange and an unit of account.
    - fogihujy 6y ago
      Still, transaction times longer than a few seconds, and fees larger than a few cents puts Bitcoin in a worse position than regular Visa transactions/Bank transfers.
      - Geee 6y ago
        You can use Visa with Bitcoin: https://www.binance.com/en/cards https://www.binance.com/en/cards
        fogihujy 6y ago
        Good start. Still doesn't address actual Bitcoin transaction times or fees, though.
    - CyberDildonics 6y ago
      You think people will use something with $28 transaction fees as a medium of exchange? Any other crypto currency would work just as well and not have that problem.
    - graeme 6y ago
      Rubbish. This is a misreading of Jevons being passed around as myth in the bitcoin world. There is no “four stages of value of currency adoption” and in Jevons’ framing gold was an exception in that it was a store of value first.
- tlb 6y ago
  You could be excited about the purchasing power of 1 BTC being 100x what it was a few years ago. No fiat currency has ever deflated more than a tiny percentage in our lifetimes.
Cthulhu_ 6y ago
Not really, crazy stock market events have been happening for a while now. like. nearly 400 years: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulip_mania https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulip_mania
UncleMeat 6y ago
99% of all news stories in major outlets written about BTC lead with "this is the price of BTC". Nothing about its use. BTC functions precisely as well if it is $10 per coin or $100,000 per coin. Popular interest in BTC is almost entirely based on "I can get rich". That is certainly a thing. People have gotten rich and likely people will continue to get rich. But that's no paradigm shift.

We're truly witnessing an extraordinary paradigm shift in human history.

by Geee 6y ago

We're truly witnessing an extraordinary paradigm shift in human history.

onepointsixC 6y ago

How so? Bitcoin's excitement comes entirely from its value in fiat, as opposed to regular usage in daily life.

BLKNSLVR 6y ago
Bitcoin as the gateway to Ethereum and the possibilities opened up by smart contacts such as the currently embryonic DeFi market. Paradigm shift isn't too strong a terminology.
- Cthulhu_ 6y ago
  While ETH is cool technology, I haven't seen it impact my personal life in any way yet. That might just be my sheltered life though.
  - bhupy 6y ago
    I've only just begun to wrap my head around all of this, and I tried playing with some of the DeFi lending platforms built on top of Ethereum. It has its kinks, but I think on the net it's a remarkably cool thing. I was able to lend $50 (overcollateralized) at 12% APY without any central institution. The only real wrinkle has been the insane transaction fees: it cost me about $80 to execute the "smart contract" for the $50 12% APY loan. That said, this is a flat cost, and I can very much see the value in paying $80 in transaction costs to be able to lend $50,000 or $500,000 at 12% APY. It also very much feels like "mainframe" days of computing where everything was expensive and impractical, but it was just the beginning. For the time being, I continue to keep my money safely parked in index funds, but one can get a first hand look at the potential for Eth/DeFi by testing small(ish) transactions out.
    - cwkoss 6y ago
      Is the loan secured to anything? What is the incentive for the borrower to repay this loan?
      - bhupy 6y ago
        Yeah it's "overcollateralized". The borrower has to put 150% of the principal into escrow (this is enforced by the smart contract). If the borrower decides to flake, the lender gets to take the collateral.
        opportune 6y ago
        Just curious, from the perspective of the borrower, what is the purpose of an overcollateralized loan? If their collateral is just as liquid as their loan, why even take the loan at all?
        bhupy 6y ago
        Super good question, I was perplexed by this myself. Basically what this financial instrument allows the borrower to do is maintain exposure to appreciating crypto assets while still leveraging its value for day to day spending. For example, suppose you owned $1500 worth of BTC. Suppose you’re also bullish on BTC and expect it to appreciate, say 2x in a year. If you liquidated the $1500 to buy a MacBook or something, you’d lose out on that appreciation. Instead, I can lend you $1000 in cash, and you can put your $1500 as collateral (150%). A year later, you pay me back $1120, and then take back your BTC collateral; except by then it may have doubled in value to $3000 (let’s say). In fact, as long as BTC appreciates by at least 12%, the loan pays for itself. As the lender, I am essentially enabling HODLers by providing them liquidity (in the form of stablecoins). Of course downside for the lender is that the buyer could bail AND the collateral could plunge in value.
        graeme 6y ago
        What use case does that have other than crypto currency speculation though? Most loans serve some sort of function in the economy.
  - BLKNSLVR 6y ago
    Even if you said Bitcoin hasn't affected your personal life you'd be in a vast majority, and Bitcoin has got a few years on Ethereum. It really is nascent; embryonic. Personally, I think it's future-defining technology that's being created, but it's a decade at least from reaching common acceptance and use. Cultural change is long and slow, it's one of those things that doesn't change until the status quo generations die off and are replaced, and there's a good couple of generations that don't even know of / care about / understand bitcoin nevermind smart contracts and decentralised finance. I don't understand the absolute fundamentals, but I understand the implications. Long term change, generationally slow migration.
- graeme 6y ago
  What are some use cases? Someone downthread mentioned loaning money where 150% of the money is put in escrow as collateral. This didn’t make any sense to me. But some of the smartest people I follow are hyped about Defi. So....what can you do with it? Or could you do if adopted.
  - Geee 6y ago
    There aren't any use cases afaik. Ethereum is a casino and DeFi is just a new exciting game in the casino.
mrpopo 6y ago
That's so amazing to me. Most of the Bitcoin memes are about dudes who get rich selling half of their stash and buying a lambo with fiat. How is this gonna change human history more than dudes getting rich selling some stock?
fogihujy 6y ago
This. Cryptocurrencies in general seem to have potential for being used in day-to-day transactions in the future, but Bitcoin itself mostly seem to be used to store value. The planned limit on the total amount of Bitcoin in circulation, transaction fees and long transaction times seem to be quite a blocker for using it to buy a cup of coffee.
- Geee 6y ago
  Money has to be first established as a store of value, before it can be used as a medium of exchange. As Bitcoin finds a more stable price point, it will become more interesting as a medium of exchange and an unit of account.
  - fogihujy 6y ago
    Still, transaction times longer than a few seconds, and fees larger than a few cents puts Bitcoin in a worse position than regular Visa transactions/Bank transfers.
    - Geee 6y ago
      You can use Visa with Bitcoin: https://www.binance.com/en/cards https://www.binance.com/en/cards
      - fogihujy 6y ago
        Good start. Still doesn't address actual Bitcoin transaction times or fees, though.
  - CyberDildonics 6y ago
    You think people will use something with $28 transaction fees as a medium of exchange? Any other crypto currency would work just as well and not have that problem.
  - graeme 6y ago
    Rubbish. This is a misreading of Jevons being passed around as myth in the bitcoin world. There is no “four stages of value of currency adoption” and in Jevons’ framing gold was an exception in that it was a store of value first.
tlb 6y ago
You could be excited about the purchasing power of 1 BTC being 100x what it was a few years ago. No fiat currency has ever deflated more than a tiny percentage in our lifetimes.

Cthulhu_ 6y ago

Not really, crazy stock market events have been happening for a while now. like. nearly 400 years: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulip_mania https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulip_mania

UncleMeat 6y ago

99% of all news stories in major outlets written about BTC lead with "this is the price of BTC". Nothing about its use. BTC functions precisely as well if it is $10 per coin or $100,000 per coin. Popular interest in BTC is almost entirely based on "I can get rich". That is certainly a thing. People have gotten rich and likely people will continue to get rich. But that's no paradigm shift.