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I like this quote: "When the pandemic first hit, many considered the rapid development of an effective vaccine as only a remote possibility. After all, an HIV
by iamthemonster 6y ago
I like this quote:
"When the pandemic first hit, many considered the rapid development of an effective vaccine as only a remote possibility. After all, an HIV vaccine has still not been developed. Yet today, only a year later, there is a sliver of light. The flurry of effective Covid-19 vaccines that have emerged from clinical trials — and with other new vaccines in the pipeline to deal with new variants — means there is a real prospect that the pandemic may end soon.
There is an important lesson here for how the world could tackle the next big challenge facing humanity: climate change.
One of the key components of the success of the vaccine programme has been a lack of interference from politicians. True, the US government’s Warp Speed programme provided some important logistical help. Yet, in many ways, governments everywhere did the bare minimum — and we’re all the better for it. Instead of dictating how the vaccine should immunise, how much it should cost or who should make it, politicians identified the problem that needed solving and wrote the cheques to make it happen. The rest was down to scientists.
Using a similar approach would be a huge step forward in our quest to tackle climate change. Having spent over four decades in the auto industry, I’ve seen my share of well-intended political initiatives having a negative impact on the ultimate objective. Diesel is the most high-profile example.
In the early 2000s, the UK provided incentives to motorists to purchase diesel cars. The reasoning was that they use less fuel than petrol vehicles, therefore they were an environmentally friendly alternative. Less than a decade later, though, and the truth has proved very different. Diesel engines produce several times more nitrogen dioxide than petrol cars, irritating lungs and causing breathing difficulties.
The crux of the diesel saga was that politicians overstepped their mark. Instead of identifying the problem, writing the cheques and leaving much of the rest to scientists and engineers — as they have done with vaccines — they fatefully dictated what they believed to be the solution.
Today, we face a similar challenge. When I worked at Nissan, the Japanese carmaker, I was responsible for the launch of the world’s first mass-market electric vehicle, the Leaf. It will therefore come as no surprise that I am a vocal advocate for electric cars and the role they can and will play in helping to achieve a healthier planet. Yet I also urge caution on policymakers who view electric vehicles as the only way towards a cleaner future — at least for transport, which accounted for a third of the UK’s carbon dioxide emissions in 2019.
Climate Capital
Where climate change meets business, markets and politics. Explore the FT’s coverage here
The UK government has done its bit by defining the problem and setting the ambitious goals of banning the sale of combustion engine cars by 2030 and a net zero emissions economy by 2050. Now, it has to encourage a competitive environment that sees engineers battle it out to discover and develop multiple technologies to reach that goal. Electric vehicles may not be the best way.
Hydrogen, for example, could outperform batteries for efficiency when it comes to heavy goods vehicles and long-haul buses. Synthetic fuels may well continue to provide the drama, noise and excitement that make sports cars so special. And there will no doubt be engineers and scientists whose research will see them stumble upon the application of an environmentally friendly fuel that no one previously thought possible. In other words, politicians must avoid putting all of their eggs into one glovebox.
If there is one good thing to have come out of this pandemic, it’s the setting of a new precedent for a much healthier and fruitful relationship between politicians and scientists and engineers. Let’s not stop here."
- mchusma 6y agoI don't follow this logic regarding this vaccine analogy. The government literally banned the use of many safe and effective vaccines entirely for almost a year, and every government has still banned some. They set the price, have banned it's sale. Regardless of what you think of the vaccine effort, I don't think anyone would look at the covid vaccine effort and see it as the government staying out of it.
- ajuc 6y agoThere's another analogy to be made here. If most countries weren't doing lockdowns all over the world to the tune of billions of dollars lost - the incentives for developing vaccines so quickly would be much smaller. Giving a grant for 10 million dollars to 10 companies that might have a shot at developing the vaccine is one thing. Banning almost all business worldwide till the vaccine is developed redirects almost all the money in the world towards developing that vaccine. If governments banned fossil fuels ignoring the economic consequences for a few years - we would solve global warming no problem. The alternatives would get developed in record time because of how much money they would be immediately worth. But the suffering in the meantime caused by the regulations don't seem as justifiable in case of global warming as it did in case of Covid lockdowns, so governments won't do this for global warming (or at least - not until people start dying of global warming in big numbers).
- LifeIsThermal 6y agoThe alternatives would be so expensive that nobody could afford them. Without fossile fuels nobody would even bother to build them because of the cost and trouble. Without fossile fuels there wouldn´t even be any planes and trucks available to deliver materials for development and production. Ban fossile fuels and civilization will collapse in a day.
- warlog 6y agoNatural depletion on a finite planet is like banning, but slower. End result will be the same.