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I've been wondering about that. I'm not sure if crypto coins without being stabilized by central banks are a powerful enough force to cause the type of havoc th
by BenoitEssiambre 6y ago
I've been wondering about that. I'm not sure if crypto coins without being stabilized by central banks are a powerful enough force to cause the type of havoc that gold did during the great depression.
Then again, the potentially stronger network/memetic effects of cryptocoins, along with the amplification factor from markets being synchronized through instant all-encompassing global communications nowadays might make them dangerous to the economy without government involvement. We saw how much people can get hypnotized by these things during the Gamestop episode. I don't think unsophisticated investors' hoarding is enough to cause big problems but it is a bit unsettling that Tesla jumped on the cryptocoin train. If enough businesses follow suit, you get into scary territory. Last time it lead to Hitler and WWII. It makes me second guess my cybertruck reservation. I was on board partly because of Musk's audacious and epic attempts to bring humanity forward. This is a non negligible risk of going in the opposite direction of creating economic carnage that leads to new Hitlers (but with nukes).
- RhodoGSA 6y agoI was kinda following you and then the hitler thing came out of nowhere. Why exactly will bitcoin lead to the next hitler? Asking for a friend.
- BenoitEssiambre 6y agoI understand that I kinda Godwin'd myself but if you read the wikipedia page on the Weimar Republic: "The Great Depression, exacerbated by Brüning's policy of deflation, led to a surge in unemployment.[8] On 30 January 1933, Hindenburg appointed Adolf Hitler as Chancellor at the head of a coalition government. " or "In 1933, the American economist Irving Fisher developed the theory of debt deflation. He explained that a deflation causes a decline of profits, asset prices and a still greater decline in the net worth of businesses. Even healthy companies, therefore, may appear over-indebted and facing bankruptcy.[59] The consensus today is that Brüning's policies exacerbated the German economic crisis and the population's growing frustration with democracy, contributing enormously to the increase in support for Hitler's NSDAP." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weimar_Republic#Br%C3%BCning's_policy_of_deflation_(1930%E2%80%931932) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weimar_Republic#Br%C3%BCning's... Now the above paragraph puts emphasis on businesses with debt but even non-indebted businesses can get caught in these currents if they are put in a position where it's more advantageous to hoard currency than to invest in maintaining or growing production. It's a fairly low probability that cryptocoins could create this kind of disastrous Nash equilibrium without the involvement of a powerful central bank. However, when I see the fervor in parts of the cryptocurrency movement and the fact that businesses are starting to hoard large amounts, I wonder...