Everything in my gut says we're not currently alone, and if I was offered a wager that was moderated by an omniscient being I'd be happy to bet at 1:10 to 1:50

Everything in my gut says we're not currently alone, and if I was offered a wager that was moderated by an omniscient being I'd be happy to bet at 1:10 to 1:50 odds. Of course, nobody has specific evidence either way, this is all guesses through Bayesian reasoning (Anders Sandberg has a paper arguing the opposite to my above guess, along Bayesian lines). But no evidence is distinct from no information.