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I don't think there was a post-70s winter. There was just not enough 'there' to over-hype; it was toy problems that did not even try to masquerade as real solu
by evgen 6y ago
I don't think there was a post-70s winter. There was just not enough 'there' to over-hype; it was toy problems that did not even try to masquerade as real solutions other than in sci-fi and popular culture. Luminaries in the field definitely made a name by pumping out speculative paper after speculative paper, but IMHO there was more of an ember waiting to spark than there was a fire consuming all of its fuel.
By the late-80s and early-90s you have venture-backed companies, big institutional efforts, grifters who had honed their pitch in academic tenure-track positions prior to moving to richer waters, and the first real claims being made regarding just-around-the-corner deliverables that would change everything. Maybe I am jaded from experiencing that same winter, but from what I recall the prior decades were more consumed with people making broad claims to try to establish intellectual primacy more than making claims about what could be delivered.
- Jtsummers 6y agoThe term showed up in the 80s, but there was an earlier (70s) failure in AI. There were a lot of grand ideas and promises, people really did anticipate AI moving much faster in the 60s and early 70s than it did. Since a lot of ideas (both regarding AI and CS in general) were in their infancy, the limits of computers (fundamental limits) weren't yet fully recognized, but also the hardware was itself creating limits (non-fundamental to the field) that weren't escaped until the 80s and 90s. See chess AIs of the 90s finally "solving" the problem, which would've been technically conceivable (how to do it) in the 70s but totally unrealizable (unless, maybe, you hooked every computer of the time together).