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Numerical weather forecasting enables genuinely new capabilities. Where is a hurricane going to make landfall a few days from now? In principle, all the arithm
by philipkglass 6y ago
Numerical weather forecasting enables genuinely new capabilities. Where is a hurricane going to make landfall a few days from now?
In principle, all the arithmetic operations going in to the final forecast could be performed by hand. But then the "forecast" would be completed millennia after the hurricane arrived. The only way to get foreknowledge of weather from the model is to do the arithmetic at inhuman speeds.
This isn't even AI by most people's intuitive notions of AI. AI is colloquially an artificial approach to intellectual tasks traditionally performed well by humans. Since humans were not very good at predicting hurricane tracks in the first place, the increasing capabilities of models to predict weather probably doesn't have as much wow factor. It's a new capability without any human-genius antecedents.