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The UK is showing decreasing deaths from Coronavirus while excess deaths (deaths over the baseline level of expected deaths not attributable to Covid, which are
by quantgenius 6y ago
The UK is showing decreasing deaths from Coronavirus while excess deaths (deaths over the baseline level of expected deaths not attributable to Covid, which are usually very steady) have gone up by more than half the supposed Covid decrease. Simultaneous with the rollout of the Astra Zeneca vaccine, the UK has had a new very stringent lockdown. The actual decrease, net of excess deaths does not seem any more than one would have expected from the new lockdown.
25% of the participants in the Pfizer and Moderna trials were over 65, 40% over 55, according your citations. 0 over 65 in the Astra Zeneca. There weren't enough over 65s and certainly not enough over 75s to come up with confidence intervals as tight as one would like in those subgroups for Pfizer/Moderna. Remember it's hard to recruit older participants because they often have co-morbidities that can cause all kinds of problems when you analyze the data. That's very different from Astra Zeneca. In particular, it's bad because the Astra Zeneca did actually recruit over 65s for the treatment groups. They just chose not to release most of that data while retaining some over 65s in the control.
This AM South Africa suspended use of the Astra Zeneca vaccine because data collected by South African authorities found it wasn't effective. It's being spun as it's not effective enough against the new strain, you still get the mild Covid etc by Oxford apologists. I suspect given a few months, we will find the vaccine doesn't work against any strain.