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Yeah I have no way to assess the credibility of Amazon vs. SpaceX claims. But Amazon has not 6 but less than 5.5 years to get 1600 sats into orbit and they don'
by themgt 6y ago
Yeah I have no way to assess the credibility of Amazon vs. SpaceX claims. But Amazon has not 6 but less than 5.5 years to get 1600 sats into orbit and they don't have a rocket to put them on. Blue Origin still hasn't been able to build two flight-worthy BE-4 engines for ULA to launch a Vulcan. Then they need 7 more engines and finish up the rest of New Glenn, LC-36 and their barge and do their first ever successful orbital flight. There's almost zero chance that will happen within the next 12 months, and if anything goes wrong could easily be into 2023. Blue Origin will then have optimistically ~4.5 years to become the second-largest launch provider.
It's worth noting there's bad blood in the general space community already after Blue tried to stop SpaceX from doing barge landings, attempted to also take over pad 39A vs SpaceX even though Blue has nothing to launch, their $10 billion HLS "40 foot ladder" proposal and Bezos infamous "Congrats @SpaceX on landing Falcon's suborbital booster stage. Welcome to the club!" back 6 years ago gives a general gist of why Bezos' claims are being treated with skepticism by many. https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/679116636310360067 https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/679116636310360067