The urge to signal my intelligence is irresistible, here's a meta-contrarian position for ya: High finance is a form of Numerology. Change my mind: Show the e

The urge to signal my intelligence is irresistible, here's a meta-contrarian position for ya: High finance is a form of Numerology. Change my mind: Show the economic theory that predicts things. Physicists have the Standard Model, and it's really good, like Feynman says, "thickness of a human hair over the distance from NY to LA" good. I say that a proper scientific economics can be better understood as ecology + psychology.