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Capital is there. But that capacity isn't going to come online over-night. "Just sourcing mines"... the capacity for raw materials doesn't exist. New mines have
by ogre_codes 6y ago
Capital is there. But that capacity isn't going to come online over-night. "Just sourcing mines"... the capacity for raw materials doesn't exist. New mines have to be dug. That means acquiring property with materials, permitting, sourcing equipment to dig the mines, digging the material, building refining equipment, building factories to package the batteries. All of this takes time to bring online.
I'm not saying capacity will never exist, but for the next 5-10 years, auto manufacturers are going to be fighting for as much lithium and battery raw materials as they can get their hands on. Tesla has a handle on this, Ford doesn't.
How many years is it going to take for that capacity to come online while Ford/ GM/ etc bleed market share?
- rswail 6y agoBleed market share to who? Tesla? Tesla has a 3 model line up, with announcements of a truck and a prime mover. There are battery manufacturers ramping up besides the Tesla/Panasonic alliance, including companies like BYD that Warren Buffet invested in back in 2008. All of the auto industry (or more likely, the overall "mobility" industry as MaaS starts to make inroads) is on a 5-10 year hockey stick. Everyone is going to be scrambling.