3 ms·
> The fears of a Chinese invasion are palpable on Nangan. I wonder how likely this is. It would be an absolute disaster for the Western world if China were to
by totalZero 6y ago
> The fears of a Chinese invasion are palpable on Nangan.
I wonder how likely this is. It would be an absolute disaster for the Western world if China were to invade Taiwan. Prices for many electronics including computers and mobile phones would skyrocket, and stock markets would crash. AAPL alone is 7% of the S&P 500.
- dannyeei 6y agoAren’t China incentivised to keep running these businesses? Why the doomsday sentiment?
- cltsang 6y agoThey are incentivized to avoid confrontation with the west. But the question is whether they will face confrontations. Right after the Biden administration has taken over, we immediately see Myanmar Coup, Russian persecution of oppositions, China sailing to Japan's Senkaku Islands, not to mention China's constant provocation in Taiwan's airspace. They are testing the limit the Biden administration. And if it's like the Obama era, the USA won't react in any meaningful manner. The EU, which looks up to the US, can't do much.
- rangibaby 6y agoTaiwan’s military is strong enough that PRC’s only route to “winning” in a war is to turn the island into a smoldering crater
- bobthepanda 6y agoAlso, the island is so densely populated. It would be hard to see how an invasion would somehow avoid hitting these factories. Strictly trying to avoid hitting them would make them fairly obvious safe harbors from which to launch guerrilla operations.