3 ms·

I dare you to make the case for this causing 2M incremental deaths. Please proceed.

• dcolkitt 6y ago
  The UK, where the main difference is the approval of the AZ vaccine, is forecast to reach herd immunity four months before the United States.[1] America is currently averaging 3500 deaths per day.[2] That's an unecessary 127 deaths per 100,000 persons. Since we're comparing total worldwide deaths from Thalidomide, that would result in 6 million unnecessary deaths if FDA policies were adopted globally. [1]https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/covid-vaccine-tracker-global-distribution/#global-time-series-rates https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/covid-vaccine-tracker-glo... [2]https://covidtracking.com/data/charts/us-daily-deaths https://covidtracking.com/data/charts/us-daily-deaths
  • mft_ 6y ago
    So if the AZ vaccine was the only vaccine available to save Americans’ lives (which it’s not) and it was 100% effective (which it’s not) and the FDA delayed its rollout by a month, by your argument the FDA’s delay would have caused 105,000 (3500 x 30) unnecessary deaths. 1. Those numbers don’t work. There are other vaccines in play which can have a disproportionate impact on the death rate if they’re properly targeted at people at highest risk of severe infection. You don’t need herd immunity to prevent most deaths. 2. I’m still not seeing the ‘two million’ deaths you mentioned?