18 ms·
This hypothesis ignores the fact that "when the girl reaches puberty", the excess divorce rate (which looks to just be "% of couples divorced if child is daught
by croissants 6y ago
This hypothesis ignores the fact that "when the girl reaches puberty", the excess divorce rate (which looks to just be "% of couples divorced if child is daughter - % of couples divorced if child is son") is a lot higher:
> [I]n the five years when the first-born is between the ages of 13 and 18, that increase goes up to 5%. And it peaks, at 9%, when the child is 15. In America, for which the data the researchers collected were sparser than those in the Netherlands, the numbers are roughly double this.
A gap of 5-15% of all couples is I hope way too much to be explained by fathers who abuse their daughters.
- username90 6y agoYou misinterpreted the data, that is 5% more divorces during those years, not that 5% of couples got divorced over it. The total increase in divorces over the entire childhood is 0.36% of all couples.
- croissants 6y agoYou're right, I misunderstood the statistic. It's saying that the fraction of couples with a first-born daughter who have divorced when she's 15 is 9% higher than the fraction of couples with a first-born son who have divorced when he's 15. Bleh, comparing rates is unpleasant business.