3 ms·
Sigh. I find articles like this, which are written in a style so the average person can (mis)understand them, but the content requires a lot of technical knowle
by teruakohatu 6y ago
Sigh. I find articles like this, which are written in a style so the average person can (mis)understand them, but the content requires a lot of technical knowledge.
> You do not have a probability of being struck by lightning. Nobody does.
I would say the average person does in fact intuitively understand that "the probability of being struck by lightning" refers to the chance of a random person being struck in a given time period (if given) or a lifetime, not themselves specifically (and definitely not if they walk around flying kites in open fields during thunderstorms).
If I told someone the chance of them lifting a rock and finding a gold coin is 1*10^(-x)%, they would not lift the rock and proclaim that the coin failed to materialize, they would understand that the actual chance was zero.
The patient at the start of the article not asking what are the chances this will work for me, they are asking "for men aged 18-25" what percentage of them are successfully treated with this product.