3 ms·
"The CFR of influenza..." Case Fatality Rate, in case anyone else lost their acronyms. According to worldometers.info, the US has reported 27,101,847 cases of
by mcguire 6y ago
"The CFR of influenza..."
Case Fatality Rate, in case anyone else lost their acronyms.
According to worldometers.info, the US has reported 27,101,847 cases of COVID19 and 460,398 deaths, giving a CFR of about 1.70%, so that's about right.
I have reservations about your influenza mortality number of 0.8%. Most of the numbers I've seen have been significantly lower. If you look at [1], there were an estimated 29,000,000 symptomatic cases of influenza in the US in 2016 and an estimated 38,000 deaths, giving an estimated CFR of 0.1%, including any effects of vaccination. Correcting for vaccination and making the assumption that everyone were vaccinated, that would result in a unvaccinated CFR of around 0.2-0.3, right?
"If you disagree, please be so kind and educate me why."
We've been dealing with COVID19 for about a year, no? We've had 27,000,000 cases and 460,000 deaths, right? That's about the same number of cases and 10x the number of deaths.
You may not be trying to downplay COVID19, but I suspect you are doing it.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_influenza_statistics_by_flu_season https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_influenza_statis...
- worker767424 6y ago> the US has reported 27,101,847 cases of COVID19 and 460,398 deaths, giving a CFR of about 1.70%, so that's about right. That's if we catch every case with testing. I'm not sure if this is still the case, but I've heard estimates of 25%-50%. The death toll also lags total cases 2-4 weeks.