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That's exactly what the paper says. >This comparison suggests that the likely upper level of sea level projections in recent IPCC reports would be too low. Th
by nabla9 6y ago
That's exactly what the paper says.
>This comparison suggests that the likely upper level of sea level projections in recent IPCC reports would be too low.
The onclusion:
>We compare the model projections over the 21st century assessed by the IPCC with historical records from 1850–2017. We find that the model projections assessed in both AR5 and SROCC fall substantially below an extrapolation of historical records (Fig. 2). ....
>Taken together this suggests that the projected global sea level rise by the end of this century in various IPCC reports is at best conservative and consequently underestimates the upper bound of what is referred to as the likely sea level rise by the end of this century.
- krona 6y agoProjections in to the future coming out of a model is not empirical data, no matter how hard you try.