So, let's recount the conditions for Sale winning the bet: 1. an economic disaster that would render the dollar worthless, causing a depression worse than the

So, let's recount the conditions for Sale winning the bet: 1. an economic disaster that would render the dollar worthless, causing a depression worse than the one in 1930; 2. a rebellion of the poor against the monied; 3. a significant number of environmental catastrophes. --- # Condition 1: Well, the Covid-related depression could be described as worse than in 1930, but it's a toss-up, especially if you don't focus on the US. However, the dollar has not been rendered worthless at all. And while the population is struggling, the world and the US' base of industrial production and infrastructural services are in reasonable working order. So condition 1 is NOT MET. # Condition 2: The poor have not rebelled against the monied. In most of the world, there is some Covid-related unrest - some demonstrations, some strikes (a really huge one in India recently, but maybe not quite Covid related). In the US there has been a wave of mass protests, occasionally bordering on riots, regarding police violence and fueled by Covid. But that has not gotten anywhere close to a rebellion against the monied. I _wish_ it would have, but: Condition 2 is NOT MET. # Condition 3: Is Covid an environmental catastrophe ? Naah, that's too much of a stretch. There's Global Warming - but it's currently only grave, not catastrophic. One might argue the catastrophe is now just a matter of time (not sure I would accept the argument) - but this is a timed bet. You also have things like mass deforestation destroying cultures; or the state of the great barrier reef etc. But still, Condition 3 is NOT MET. ------------ Kelly squarely wins the bet. That Patrick guy evaluated the situation unfairly.