6 ms·

highly doubt it. coup happened at 4am local time, sunrise in winter happens at 6:47 am. this video is pretty bright

sillysaurusx 6y ago
This is an interesting analysis. Did the coup really happen at 4am? If so, then there's almost no way this video could be legit.
- z92 6y ago
  Coup news takes time to reach the media. If this is not fake more likely this video is from the previous day afternoon, when they raided the parliament.
  - est31 6y ago
    According to this comment the camera faces westwards: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25999725 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25999725 The sun shines from the back towards the right so is more in the east. I'd put it somewhere around 10 to 12 AM local time (UTC+6.5). https://www.suncalc.org/#/19.7758,96.1326,15/2021.01.31/11:43/1/3 https://www.suncalc.org/#/19.7758,96.1326,15/2021.01.31/11:4...
    - est31 6y ago
      Apparently the original post was done on 15:00 local time so that gives an upper bound: https://www.facebook.com/100005518668726/posts/1569283416598932/?d=n https://www.facebook.com/100005518668726/posts/1569283416598...
- teorema 6y ago
  This LA Times article notes that the video was taken in the morning: https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2021-02-01/myanmar-coup-aerobics https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2021-02-01/myanma... This stated communication blackouts lasted from 3 to 1115 am, with one journalist reporting a loss of service at 4am: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-55893736 https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-55893736. The coup didn't happen instantaneously at a given time, so it seems reasonable to say the video was recorded during the coup. At the same time, it's not really clear what specific activities the vehicles were on route to.
  - OnlyLys 6y ago
    She seems to be dancing by the Royal Lotus Roundabout near the Parliament and Presidential Palace [1]. The building in the background of the video appears to be a shrine located just past the road leading to the Presidential Palace. You can see the vehicles turn left just before the shrine, so they were probably up to no good... [1]: https://goo.gl/maps/NLYW6hDSY4wMQkBH8 https://goo.gl/maps/NLYW6hDSY4wMQkBH8
minitoar 6y ago
Source for 4am caravan-to-the-capital?
koheripbal 6y ago
But it's so much more click-worthy to pretend the title is true. This is a great example of how misinformation can propagate orders of magnitude further and faster than the truth as long as it's funny, ironic, or reinforces existing bias.
Clewza313 6y ago
What, 4AM instantaneously? I'm sure they arrested key people at that time, but there's no need to barricade streets etc (as shown in this video) until later when things are under control and you can start worrying about public unrest.

This is an interesting analysis. Did the coup really happen at 4am? If so, then there's almost no way this video could be legit.

z92 6y ago
Coup news takes time to reach the media. If this is not fake more likely this video is from the previous day afternoon, when they raided the parliament.
- est31 6y ago
  According to this comment the camera faces westwards: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25999725 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25999725 The sun shines from the back towards the right so is more in the east. I'd put it somewhere around 10 to 12 AM local time (UTC+6.5). https://www.suncalc.org/#/19.7758,96.1326,15/2021.01.31/11:43/1/3 https://www.suncalc.org/#/19.7758,96.1326,15/2021.01.31/11:4...
  - est31 6y ago
    Apparently the original post was done on 15:00 local time so that gives an upper bound: https://www.facebook.com/100005518668726/posts/1569283416598932/?d=n https://www.facebook.com/100005518668726/posts/1569283416598...
teorema 6y ago
This LA Times article notes that the video was taken in the morning: https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2021-02-01/myanmar-coup-aerobics https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2021-02-01/myanma... This stated communication blackouts lasted from 3 to 1115 am, with one journalist reporting a loss of service at 4am: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-55893736 https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-55893736. The coup didn't happen instantaneously at a given time, so it seems reasonable to say the video was recorded during the coup. At the same time, it's not really clear what specific activities the vehicles were on route to.
- OnlyLys 6y ago
  She seems to be dancing by the Royal Lotus Roundabout near the Parliament and Presidential Palace [1]. The building in the background of the video appears to be a shrine located just past the road leading to the Presidential Palace. You can see the vehicles turn left just before the shrine, so they were probably up to no good... [1]: https://goo.gl/maps/NLYW6hDSY4wMQkBH8 https://goo.gl/maps/NLYW6hDSY4wMQkBH8

minitoar 6y ago

Source for 4am caravan-to-the-capital?

koheripbal 6y ago

But it's so much more click-worthy to pretend the title is true. This is a great example of how misinformation can propagate orders of magnitude further and faster than the truth as long as it's funny, ironic, or reinforces existing bias.

Clewza313 6y ago

What, 4AM instantaneously? I'm sure they arrested key people at that time, but there's no need to barricade streets etc (as shown in this video) until later when things are under control and you can start worrying about public unrest.