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Futurists prefer "forecasting" rather than "prediction" since the future is constructed from the past (that is, data) and not from the examination of pigeon ent
by drallison 6y ago
Futurists prefer "forecasting" rather than "prediction" since the future is constructed from the past (that is, data) and not from the examination of pigeon entrails, tea leaves, or flakey models with deus ex machina solutions.
David Wallace-Wells, The Uninhabitable Earth: Life After Warming would be a good choice. It's a snapshot of forecast reality, not near-future sci fi, and scary.
https://smile.amazon.com/Uninhabitable-Earth-Life-After-Warming/dp/0525576711/ref=sr_1_1?crid=1DEA0IKB67760&dchild=1&keywords=uninhabitable+earth&qid=1612111464&sprefix=uninha%2Caps%2C251&sr=8-1 https://smile.amazon.com/Uninhabitable-Earth-Life-After-Warm...
Also worthwhile, David Pogue's How to Prepare for Climate Change: A Practical Guide to Surviving the Chaos. Similar to the Wallace-Wells book, but from a different perspective.
https://smile.amazon.com/How-Prepare-Climate-Change-Practical/dp/1982134518/ref=pd_cart_vw_crc_1_2/138-5985187-2859747?_encoding=UTF8&pd_rd_i=1982134518&pd_rd_r=1a514c87-ffe2-4dd3-9a61-42b3601b9c32&pd_rd_w=C1ulG&pd_rd_wg=bVXml&pf_rd_p=01004c92-8f40-4f1a-bee8-08cb36dccac2&pf_rd_r=DD7EX6XRNNSPH4V92GMK&psc=1&refRID=DD7EX6XRNNSPH4V92GMK https://smile.amazon.com/How-Prepare-Climate-Change-Practica...
Cormack McCarthy's The Road is a disturbing, post-apocalyptic novel about a father and son's fight to survive when life on earth dies off from the bottom up. It is set a bit further in the future than the others, at a point where the die off of humans is happening. Collapse and death is mostly low tech.
https://smile.amazon.com/Road-Cormac-McCarthy/dp/0307387895/ref=sr_1_2?dchild=1&keywords=the+road&qid=1612113251&s=books&sr=1-2 https://smile.amazon.com/Road-Cormac-McCarthy/dp/0307387895/...
It does seem like we are living in a utopian sci fi novel these days (pandemic aside). We have ignored the warnings of pending collapse until there is no longer time to correct course or even adapt. So it's likely we wail be living in environmental chaos for the next 20 years and then slip into extinction over the next 10 as we experience first hand the last great die-off.
- kevrc 6y agoThe human race is extinct in 30 years? That sounds incredibly alarmist. Could you elaborate on how this realistically happens?
- pmdulaney 6y agoI went to hear Jacques Cousteau speak at UCLA in about 1975 and he was predicting that the oceans would be dead in 25 years. Somewhat alarmist, I suppose -- but maybe we all did some things to avert it. Sort of like Jonah preaching to Ninevah.