3 ms·

I don't have a time machine so no I cannot prove what will happen in the future

• AnimalMuppet 6y ago
  Fine, but you seem to regard it as at least virtually certain. Why? What is your basis for regarding it as close to certain?
  • bob33212 6y ago
    https://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-1.html https://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revol...
    • AnimalMuppet 6y ago
      I've seen that article. I don't find it convincing. Start with the first screen: An exponential graph does not have a sharp kink in it just past where you are standing. The rest of the point is valid (an exponential curve means that the next bit if change will be faster than the last bit, and that's going to surprise you), but he's cheating to try to make the point more visually dramatic. It implies "there's a discontinuous first derivative coming almost immediately", when the argument is actually that there's a continuous increase in the first derivative. So, yeah. Overselling the case, in the graph on the first screen.