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> Unless China solves for the skewed demographics in the next ten years, seems like sheep-behavior to include them in projections for the future. Has anyone see
by tpush 6y ago
> Unless China solves for the skewed demographics in the next ten years, seems like sheep-behavior to include them in projections for the future. Has anyone seen these types of presentations but say 1980, except it says Japan instead?
The presentation directly addresses this in slide 86.
- hong_kong 6y agoOnly superficially. Just because China's population is larger doesn't mean it won't get hit by the same forces as Japan back in the 80s. China had a demographic tailwind in the past few decades, which is reversing now as the population ages while birth rate remains low - its dependency ratio will spike and a huge amount of resources will have to be diverted to elderly care.