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For some context on why this cost-plus is necessary and great, several generic manufacturers have been colluding and price-fixing. There are ongoing lawsuits fr
by DevX101 6y ago
For some context on why this cost-plus is necessary and great, several generic manufacturers have been colluding and price-fixing. There are ongoing lawsuits from the Department of Justice and 46 states, and at least one pharma co pled guilty, and was fined $200 million.
https://www.biospace.com/article/states-accuse-drugmakers-of-colluding-to-keep-generic-drug-prices-artificially-high-in-lawsuit/ https://www.biospace.com/article/states-accuse-drugmakers-of...
- snoshy 6y agoQuite damning, and that's only the most blatant infractions, because it's such a high bar to prove collusion and price fixing. The most disingenuous tactics to prevent competition that are harder to prove in court continue to cause harm to the average consumer nevertheless.
- ProAm 6y ago> cost-plus is necessary I wish cost plus worked but its just as easily gamed. Ive seen many industries that contracted cost-plus and the costs magically went up a lot. If there is money to be made the system can always be gamed/contorted/scammed, etc...
- neltnerb 6y agoWhile true, wouldn't the point of such a rule be to provide a framework for fighting against exactly that? Without the rule they don't even need to try to manipulate the books, so there's even less to find as evidence that might be used to either improve the rule or enforce it differently. Of course, market pressure is much simpler if one manufacturer just decides to do it according to a consistent and justifiable method and stick with it.
- JumpCrisscross 6y ago> Without the rule they don't even need to try to manipulate the books Screwing with cost plus doesn't require manipulating books. If you're passing on your costs, you have no incentive to find cheaper suppliers. Need to hire a bunch of people? Meh. Guy didn't show up to work for two weeks? Not your payroll, really. Enabling new entrants where possible, and regulating where not, is a simpler and more-scalable solution. Pharmaceuticals manufacturing seems to be light on the former.
- neltnerb 6y agoThank you for the explanation, I do agree that such a system does discourage you from using less expensive suppliers... assuming a lack of competition which you rightly point out is the bigger issue. Of course, if there were sufficient honest competition it wouldn't need to be cost plus either, it could just be an honest competitive market price. As long as they are actually manufacturing it the main pressure would be when they inevitably internally question why they are selling it for less than market price. I have seen that discussion, there's a big difference between "we can sell it profitably for this much" and "we can sell it for this much and make this much money". So how do you provide that internal pressure? One honest competitor that publishes transparent methods for estimating the cost of manufacturing the drug along with case studies making it easy to do in other cases, and commit to using that process. Or medicare of course, I don't see any reason it needs to be a private company. If they could estimate the true manufacturing cost in a vacuum I would certainly hope they could negotiate better but maybe they just don't know how because they aren't the manufacturer.
- adrr 6y agoYup, cost is easily gamed. We see this in movie industry all the time with Hollywood accounting. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hollywood_accounting https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hollywood_accounting
- JumpCrisscross 6y agoAnother is aerospace. One of SpaceX's original selling points was a clearly-advertised price.
- mikemoka 6y agoOT but always related to a more universal access to medicines: an opensource covid-19 vaccine is now in progress (supported by Harvard University and the Government of India) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25915546 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25915546
- brundolf 6y ago> and was fined $200 million To which their response was probably, "pleasure doing business with you"
- mikesabbagh 6y agoIt is nice to sue all of those companies for colluding. But can't you just import those drugs for less from India or other cheap drug producing country? I am not sure the problem lies in manufacturing. The system is rigged between the insurance companies and the medical system and the middle men!! Offering a cheaper cost, means more money for the middle men probably
- Shivetya 6y agoWell its not all about insurance companies but also where government drops the ball. Example, doctors will prescribe Eliquis because if you have insurance and not medicare its downright cheap but if you are on medicare your cost is four hundred plus. Even insulin prices get distorted because you are limited to which types you can buy in you are under medicare. maybe with their majority the Democrats can finally tell their union buddies to bugger off and pass a single payer or tax high value insurance policies; one major reason ACA was so limited as many of those policies which were going to be taxed were all on the side of public employee union benefits.
- metiscus 6y agoI've heard this mentioned a lot and I have always wanted to ask: How does tasking high value insurance policies address this issue? Does the government take the additional tax money and use it to subsidize the drug cost? What would prevent the drug company from raising the price to capture the subsidy?
- parsimo2010 6y agoIt is not guaranteed that a regular American can get drugs from another country. In the past few years, you have been able to legally bring a few months of drugs back from Canada if you visited in person. But if you order drugs online, the drugs are at risk of being seized. Sometimes they get through fine, sometimes they are seized for things as silly as improper labeling (or the drug being straight up illegal to import). You can still save money on many drugs if you can accept the risk or you can order far enough in advance to be able to reorder if one of your packages gets seized. Ordering drugs from another country is a slightly better plan to save money than making friends with a veterinarian. But most people should just go to the local pharmacy and work with their insurance provider or state aid programs if they can't afford their prescriptions. Ironically, the Trump administration recently allowed states to import drugs from other countries to enable them to offer lower cost drugs through state run programs, but was still seizing the same products if they were ordered by individuals. While I can't really complain about an initiative to lower drug costs, the mental gymnastics needed to come up with this plan are pretty incredible. "We don't think price controls are compatible with a capitalist society, so we won't implement them. But we campaigned on lower drug prices (since that will increase our appeal among the elderly), so we have to do something. Let's import drugs from countries that do have price controls. But people can't order the drugs themselves, we have to protect them from themselves. We have to order the drugs and repackage them with new labels, because we need American instructions and American warning labels, not the instructions and warnings that the Canadian government is fine with." Right now, it's better/easier for most people to get their drugs from a local pharmacist with our current system. If Mark Cuban is willing to throw a lot of capital and break up the price collusion between established drug companies, then I suppose it's a step in the right direction. We should be happy to accept lower prices and get to work on fixing other important problems with our healthcare system.
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- brianjunyinchan 6y agoI heard once that cost-plus is related to the bloating of US defense budget and Boeing, Lockheed etc post WW2. Could someone familiar share some thoughts on what differences there are w this in pharma?
- icelancer 6y agoIt is definitely related to the bloating of the military budget but Cuban's pharma idea is different than the "cost-plus" of the military. It's an unfortunate name collision that seems like an unforced error by Cuban since people like you (and many others) make the same association, even though the name is quite descriptive and accurate when used correctly.
- metiscus 6y agoWhat follows is a lengthy explanation of federal contract types, awards, and some light commentary on what you posited. Federal contracts are usually, but not always issued under the rules of the FAR. Within the FAR there are several types of contracts supported including among others Firm Fixed Price (FFP), Cost Plus Incentive, Cost Plus Fixed Fee (CPFF), and Time and Materials (T&M). The other way that contracts can be issued is via an OTA or (Other Transactional Authority) and I won't really discuss those contracts as apart from semantics they usually obey the FAR rules as pertains to this discussion. In a Firm Fixed Price contract, the contractor is considered to be holding all of the risk. The contractor is responsible for fulfilling the terms of the contract and must meet those requirements even if in doing so they lose money. When bidding a FFP contract, you develop an estimate of the work required, determine what the risks are and assign mitigation costs and likelihoods, determine what your desired profit margin is, and offer the government you best and lowest price. Usually these contracts are competitively awarded although that is not always the case (a). The "Firm" in FFP does not mean that the price can not increase. If the government changes what is desired or incurs costs on the contractor that were not specified in the original contract, the contractor can request equitable adjustment. FFP contracts are most commonly used when producing goods with known qualities that already exist or require slight modification of existing goods in the market. Cost Plus contracts (Cost Plus Incentive or CPFF) entail cost sharing between the government and the contractor. In a Cost based contract, the government is considered to hold some of the risk. These contracts are generally used as development contracts when a new or significant evolution of an existing system is required. The government is responsible for reimbursing the contractor their costs incurred during development. These costs include both direct and indirect costs. Direct costs are what you would usually assume is meant by cost, e.g. the actual cost of the people and equipment used in pursuit of a single contract objective. Indirect costs are costs that are incurred in support of multiple contract objectives e.g. lighting and power for a building, HR and finance people. Significant portions of the FAR are involved in cost pooling and I won't get into it much more here. Because the government is responsible for reimbursing costs the contractor is not under as great of an obligation to minimize those costs. Effectively, there is a very low risk of losing money on a Cost contract because your actual costs are reimbursed. In cost contracts, the government can use the allocation of profit (fee) as an incentive to have the contractor meet time or total cost goals but is still responsible for reimbursing all reasonable costs. Most major new systems development happens under the guise of Cost contracts although some have been developed using FFP or OTA mechanisms. If the contractor fails to perform, the government will usually still reimburse the costs up to the point where work was stopped. It requires a lengthy legal battle to recover costs in a breach of contract suit. Time and Material contracts are the most disfavored by the government. They have no performance objective apart from labor. The contractor is required to supply labor in a desired quantity and place but no actual performance (e.g. those 10 guys actually finish digging the ditch) is embedded. These contracts are fairly rare but are used occasionally. To address the asked question regarding budgets post WW2. The Department of Defense publishes a daily list of every contract awarded above a certain value (I think 2 million) here https://www.defense.gov/Newsroom/Contracts/ https://www.defense.gov/Newsroom/Contracts/. Contract modifications (and new delivery orders under an existing IDIQ contract vehicle) Most of the largest of these contracts seem to be awarded via the sole-source justification. It is hard to put the blame squarely on cost contracts. There are cases, say developing a novel weapon system, where the government can not fully articulate it's needs at the starting point. Over-specification of requirements will cause the bidders on an FFP to give higher prices because they must be able to account for every requirement in their bids. When developing a brand new system, cost contracts can be effective although I do agree that the mechanism is over applied. I also believe that the sole source justification to avoid competition significantly undermines the cost control measures of both FFP and Cost contracts. Now to briefly discuss what I believe is happening with this company. They appear to be functioning under rules most similar to CPFF, so I will analyze along those lines. Do they have a contractual goal? Yes, they have to produce the drugs needed based on transactions and contracts they accept. Do they have a reason to minimize their costs? Yes, their entire existence is predicated on the price differential between their products and those of other members of the market. If they allow their costs to balloon beyond a certain point, it will diminish their marketability. It doesn't mean that the stated margin will be over raw material and production costs as marketing is also included. I would like to see a public commitment to price transparency including all major line items in the cost similar to what is done with not for profit organizations (they have alluded to doing so with the statement "We will let everyone know what it costs to manufacture, distribute, and market our drugs to pharmacies.") Source: In a previous life I was heavily involved in the bidding and management of DoD contracts. Also see sections 13-15 of the FAR https://www.acquisition.gov/sites/default/files/current/far/pdf/FAR.pdf https://www.acquisition.gov/sites/default/files/current/far/...