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I find this example interesting, but it falls a bit short of noticing what the segue to this situation would be today: >>Even mild incentives, however, can sti
by camillomiller 6y ago
I find this example interesting, but it falls a bit short of noticing what the segue to this situation would be today:
>>Even mild incentives, however, can still exert pressure on our beliefs. Russ Roberts tells the story of a colleague who, at a picnic, started arguing for an unpopular political opinion — that minimum wage laws can cause harm — whereupon there was a "frost in the air" as his fellow picnickers "edged away from him on the blanket." If this happens once or twice, it's easy enough to shrug off. But when it happens again and again, especially among people whose opinions we care about, sooner or later we'll second-guess our beliefs and be tempted to revise them.
It might have been true in a previous age, but in our Internet age, where there’s a big enough corpus of people somewhere that agrees and reinforces you, you won’t have this result. The guy in this example would just shrug off everyone at the picnic as hipster liberals and go back to the virtual place where everyone is agreeing with him.
I think that’s exactly what Trump team understood. It’s not just about lying long enough to make a lie true, but more interestingly, to lie and create enough support for that lie for people to feel reinforced in their beliefs even if their closer friend and relatives try to convince them otherwise.
- marcus_holmes 6y agoYeah. QAnon believers have destroyed important personal relationships while promoting their obviously-wrong belief. Some have continued believing even when absolutely and incontrovertibly proven wrong. Obviously they perceived the social cost of acknowledging that they were wrong as higher than the gain of getting their friends and family back. And obviously there's places they can go on the internet where this continued belief is socially rewarded. I see correlations here with "being weak", where "strength" is correlated with not giving in, not accepting that the other person was right, not changing your opinion in the light of better evidence, etc. For some people, the ego cost of being wrong is much higher than for others. Their self-esteem is somehow connected to this belief. It's less about social, and more about ego.