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Yes i think i over inflated the number of cars required . https://www.businessofapps.com/data/uber-statistics/#4 https://www.businessofapps.com/data/uber-statis
by elisharobinson 6y ago
Yes i think i over inflated the number of cars required . https://www.businessofapps.com/data/uber-statistics/#4 https://www.businessofapps.com/data/uber-statistics/#4 going through the data there are about 5 million drivers in Uber in 2019 . i will admit 100B$ in capex is a reasonable assumption But I cant imagine for practical reasons google , apple , Amazon putting a large % of their savings into still unproven tech with regulatory risk. Keep in mind that they would still have to compete with Tesla at somepoint which has a best car platform vs < X car company> in the market. Not to mention they already have close to 1 million cars with all the hardware(their claim, i still feel tesla TPU v2 with TSMC 7nm is a must have) and they are on track to producing 500k cars in US with these capabilities. while no other car company is even trying to integrate < X lidar autonomy startup> in mass production Today . Not to mention that currently the primary hindrance for Tesla is software which can scale much better in comparison to a ground up redesign of a car plant to accommodate lidar based systems .
- reitzensteinm 6y agoI don't think $100bn is reasonable - that's a million cars! There are only 13k taxi medallions in NYC, which is a good point of reference as the limited supply means they are efficiently utilized. Extrapolating that out to the general US population yields just over 500k taxis, and that's to completely replace every single taxi in the country.