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Exactly. Fixating on the vaccination percentage is simply using a number that's two steps removed from what's actually important. It's like trying to decide if
by SamBam 6y ago
Exactly. Fixating on the vaccination percentage is simply using a number that's two steps removed from what's actually important.
It's like trying to decide if it's too rainy to go out by figuring out how many people are watering their yards right now, when you could just look out and see if it's raining.
- evandijk70 6y agoStill we use weather forecast when we decide to make plans tomorrow. The best way to predict wether we can make plans (summer holidays, festivals, etc.) should involve some combination of the vaccination percentage and epidemological models.
- SamBam 6y agoSeeing what the case positivity is this week is the best way to decide whether the vaccine has been effective enough to go out this week. Looking at the vaccine numbers for this week is a worse proxy. How does it help? Sure, you could use the projected vaccinations for next March to decide how likely it is that you'll be able to go and watch a broadway show in March, but, like the weather forecast, you'll need to know what the actual positivity is in March to make the final decisions.