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As Noah says in the article. The question he's addressing is how to know when we are approaching the cliff. We all agree it is out there but we can have a much
by jedharris 6y ago
As Noah says in the article. The question he's addressing is how to know when we are approaching the cliff. We all agree it is out there but we can have a much better society if we know how far. If we fall off the cliff of course that is bad. Conversely if we cripple our opportunities because we are afraid, but the cliff is really many many trillions of dollars further away, that is also bad.
- Diggsey 6y agoThat seems akin to predicting the stock mocket... If you, as a lender, could predict before everyone else when the cliff was approaching, then you would stop lending sooner. If everyone does that, then the cliff moves closer, and your algorithm loses all predictive power.