2 ms·
Disclaimer: Not a pandemic response team member. I would imagine that if you look at the current state of the COVID-19 pandemic... we have a vaccine and we've
by neogodless 6y ago
Disclaimer: Not a pandemic response team member.
I would imagine that if you look at the current state of the COVID-19 pandemic... we have a vaccine and we've been able to give first doses to maybe 5% of the U.S. right now.
It is estimated that herd immunity, or basically infection frequency / transmission dropping low enough that you are unlikely to get COVID-19 requires about 75% of everyone to be fully vaccinated (both doses for the two leading vaccines).
So to have the vaccine or not have the vaccine is not a binary choice for every person at this time. Lots of 64 year olds could walk into a grocery store, wishing they had a vaccine, but they don't. Ideally, every store employee at such a store is low or no risk for that 64 year old, just in case. Masks help but are not 100%. Catching it from surfaces is, I believe, presumed to be low on incidence, but I would not assume it is 0% either.
So the best bet for 64 year olds that are not yet eligible for the vaccine is that employees at places people have to go contain largely vaccinated employees as soon as possible. Also don't know the numbers, but there are probably a lot less grocery store workers than say all people between 50 and 64 years of age.
(I'm also not 100% clear on when a 64 year old with no underlying conditions and no front-line worker qualification will otherwise be eligible.)
- ghaff 6y ago>(I'm also not 100% clear on when a 64 year old with no underlying conditions and no front-line worker qualification will otherwise be eligible.) It depends on the state. But in Massachusetts, that 64 year old is part of the general pool, i.e. they're eligible at the same time a healthy 20 year old is. It depends on how many people are willing to get vaccinated and whether vaccinations can be tamped up above 1 million per day (so 2 million jabs for the 2 dose vaccines). But it could easily be 6 months out, though hopefully closer to early summer. Added: Though Biden is only promising to get 50 million people vaccinated in the next 100 days.