3 ms·
Also unknown is the number protected by prior infection. Anywhere from 10-30%. I think we’ll see R’ start to plunge during summer due to weather and never clim
by amalter 6y ago
Also unknown is the number protected by prior infection. Anywhere from 10-30%.
I think we’ll see R’ start to plunge during summer due to weather and never climb back up from increase in immunity. But “back to normal”. January earliest.
- ghaff 6y agoMost events people I know are betting on things being normal-ish by the fall. Doesn't mean they're right of course although they were right enough to shut things down at a time when many people were still thinking it wasn't that big a deal. There are also gradations of normal although once you fully open up restaurants, have indoor concerts, packed auditoriums, etc. most things you could do to reduce spread are pretty much theater at that point (other than possibly requiring vaccinations to fly, enter venues, workplaces).