That is the bias I'm talking about. No, the guy who did 3 years at Google is not more likely to be less committed to this position that he applied to. You don'

That is the bias I'm talking about. No, the guy who did 3 years at Google is not more likely to be less committed to this position that he applied to. You don't know anything about him or his circumstances. You assume. I'm not against taking a statistically-based decision, but you don't even have the statistics. Juniors often enough job-hop while the guy with experience may actually know what he is getting into and have a reason to do so (I also don't have the statistics, and that's why I won't filter fresh grads...).