4 ms·

Zero fertility would introduce an aging crisis.

• toomuchtodo 6y ago
  Which is preferable to a resource exhaustion crisis. Can’t kick the can forever. Most of the world is at or below a total fertility rate replacement rate (2.1). The trend simply needs to continue for ~10-15 years to lock in the population decline.
  • ncmncm 6y ago
    We must hope civilization doesn't collapse before then. If it does, population will decline faster, but much less comfortably. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25745549 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25745549
  • User23 6y ago
    But Subsaharan Africa will more than pick up the slack[1][2]. [1] https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31522-1/fulltext?dgcid=raven_jbs_etoc_email https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6... [2] https://population.un.org/wpp/Graphs/DemographicProfiles/Line/947 https://population.un.org/wpp/Graphs/DemographicProfiles/Lin...
    • toomuchtodo 6y ago
      Agree that more work needs to be done for women's rights in that part of the world (empowerment, education, easy access to family planning resources, etc). https://ourworldindata.org/fertility-rate#what-explains-the-change-in-the-number-of-children-women-have https://ourworldindata.org/fertility-rate#what-explains-the-...