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It's a complex problem. Supply and demand works in some housing markets and not others. Some markets are non-competitive so supply and demand doesn't quite wo
by proverbialbunny 6y ago
It's a complex problem. Supply and demand works in some housing markets and not others. Some markets are non-competitive so supply and demand doesn't quite work. This is not because land is a limited resource, but travel times to work are a limited resource. Land use is limited to a number of minutes from where jobs are. Before cars became common commute times were the same length as they are today, but people lived much closer to where they worked.
In housing markets where there is a lack of competition this allows land lords to raise prices as much as they want, up to a point, as long as tenants can pay. Because it's an inelastic good, people have to pay or be homeless, so they'll pay up to how much they make.
China is a good example of this. It has some of the highest rent prices in the world with people crammed into these coffin sized living conditions, so China has strongly stimulated building development. This has let to handfuls of ghost cities with no one living in them, and yet rent prices continue to increase beyond just about anywhere else in the world.
Singapore is a good example as well. It's a country with limited land and a high population. The government there builds condos with a locked rate, so the average citizen can afford it. The government effectively becomes their land lord. "Buying" land there is renting, and the condos are quite nice. They have the resources to do this, it limits land prices, the people benefit from it, the government benefits from it. I'm not saying this is how other countries should do this, just that it makes a good use case to show an example of what reduces land prices and an example of what increases it.
One such solution I am unfamiliar if any country in the world does, is build more Ivy / high end business universities. The largest reason someone chooses to start a business in an area is because their social network is there. They get this network at a university. By building education up in a better way, more cities will form around those universities. We could get more cities with businesses, instead of people fighting over the few options in the US, despite all of the land we have.
Another such solution is limiting business in an area. If the number of workers in an area are limited, around those businesses house and rent prices become competitive and supply and demand starts working. Business that want to expand or new businesses would have to move to another area. (Of course, this solution is not without its faults.)
The European solution is two fold: 1) mixed zoning, so businesses are more inner-twinned with residential reducing commute times increasing the ability for supply and demand to work. 2) limit building size to regulate the residential to business employee ratio, which allows supply and demand to start working. We can see today that this works and works well.
- goodcanadian 6y agoBecause it's an inelastic good, people have to pay or be homeless, so they'll pay up to how much they make. Housing demand is more elastic than many people suppose. As you indirectly point out, people will generally take the best housing they can afford. If they can only afford a shared apartment or living with their parents, that is what they will do. If they can afford their own apartment, they will do that. If they can afford a mansion with a swimming pool, many will do that. People will sometimes move away from high priced areas and toward lower priced areas if they can manage it. To a certain extent, therefore, demand will increase and decrease relative to supply. So, back to my original thesis, if you want cheaper or better housing, build more of it. Ideally, you do this in places where it is in demand though I acknowledge it may be difficult in the highest demand areas. Alternatively, build rapid transit to increase the effective availability of housing (increase the reasonable commuting distance).
- proverbialbunny 6y agoWhat you quoted is about people taking the only housing they can afford. Keep in mind low income households are 44% of the US. 44% of the country can only afford the cheapest rent. When half of the country has a flat limit, it restricts rent prices, which is why in most of the US there are two grades of rent: 1) cheap rent, which isn't great or 2) slightly more expensive rent where you get seemingly double for it, eg your commute is reduced by an hour, you get all of these amenities like heating and AC, you get way more square feet and so on. For most of the country the difference is around $200 a month. I know there are wealthier areas like out here in the SF/Bay Area, where there is much more of a gradient due to the average person making six digits. Keep in mind if the bay area was its own country it would be the second wealthiest country in the world, so yes the US has exceptions, but lower income rent is still capped to their income. If you think housing is elastic either you misunderstand the word or you can always prove it by living out of your car. In comparison, eating out is elastic, despite it being food. You can easily prove it by cooking at home. Maybe you're saying living in an expensive place is elastic so the free market works? Yes, this is true for the upper half of the country. For the lower half it is absolutely inelastic. A tv is elastic, because you can easily prove it by not owning one. Utilities, eating cheap food at home, and housing are inelastic. Try living without power.