2 ms·
> the researchers presumed that 30% of individuals who contract the new coronavirus never develop symptoms but remain 75% as infectious as those who do develop
by slumdev 6y ago
> the researchers presumed that 30% of individuals who contract the new coronavirus never develop symptoms but remain 75% as infectious as those who do develop symptoms.
They made up some numbers and played with the math. It's conjecture, not research.
- f430 6y ago> They made up some numbers and played with the math. It's conjecture, not research. Do you know what conjecture means?
- slumdev 6y agoThe second definition from Wiktionary is most appropriate for this situation: > (formal) A supposition based upon incomplete evidence; a hypothesis. There is no evidence that asymptomatic people are 75% as infectious as symptomatic people. The 75% number was fabricated to allow them to build a model. Asymptomatic people could be 0% as infectious as symptomatic people. Or, by some unexpected turn of fate, they could be 200% as infectious as symptomatic people. The evidence doesn't exist. Your link even mentions another scientist who believes that asymptomatic people are only 35% as infectious.