What are the odds the feds found a 4chan et al poster spoofing an armed protest and are just so on edge they are taking it seriously? Then some unnamed low leve

What are the odds the feds found a 4chan et al poster spoofing an armed protest and are just so on edge they are taking it seriously? Then some unnamed low level official leaks it to his press buddies and all of a sudden our country is in crisis again.