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One of my problems with this line of argument is that it provides a sort relativism of opinion, every opinion is just as valid as any other. And then you're at
by altarius 6y ago
One of my problems with this line of argument is that it provides a sort relativism of opinion, every opinion is just as valid as any other. And then you're at post-truth and post-fact sadly...
If Carlsen is a fake, so is every chess player he has ever played, the whole system? Epidemiologists lied about masks (or they really didn't know better 3-5 months into the pandemic, also not good), discount everything else said? I've heard these arguments often lately :/
Experts not being "real" implies that there's no absolute expertise whatsoever and implicitly legitimizes dismissing any argument whatsoever on a single failure and allows people to believe that any opinion (including their own) is just as valid. I think this is in part to blame for our "post-fact/post-truth" phenomenon. Many people decide experts or government were wrong/have lied before and can no longer be trusted. And when an outsider comes along with contrarian but convenient ideas, why not believe them, nobody else is to be trusted after all and every opinion is valid.
Any expert opinion can be wrong but the prior is that an expert opinion is much more likely to be correct than your own, or a politician's, or a blogger's.
NB: I want to note that the author's point is much more nuanced and (more importantly!) narrow, but it's not evident from the title or a superficial reading.
- mcguire 6y ago"Epidemiologists lied about masks (or they really didn't know better 3-5 months into the pandemic, also not good)..." Technically, if my timeline is right[1], about 2 months into the pandemic, for his example. 3-4 months generally. Plus they had a prior belief that masks wouldn't be useful. [1] The world outside China learned about the thing at the end of December; his example is the first week of March.
- nickthemagicman 6y ago'Experts' often disagree. Which makes you wonder if the whole system is actually invalid. Experts are merely one data point, at the end of the day you have to look at the entirety of the data yourself to make a decision.