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Many argue that the experts ultimately got it right (and are thus redeemed). I strongly disagree. Even when the public health types corrected course, their beha
by cltby 6y ago
Many argue that the experts ultimately got it right (and are thus redeemed). I strongly disagree. Even when the public health types corrected course, their behavior left a bad taste in my mouth. There was no acknowledgement of having been wrong, no introspection on how their errors came to be, no discussion how they could be avoided in the future. Just aggressive enforcement of the new party line couched in appeals to authority. The whole enterprise reeks of blind dogmatism.
- tboyd47 6y ago> Many argue that the experts ultimately got it right (and are thus redeemed). Perhaps their opinion on that one matter they corrected was redeemed, but their general lack of understanding about the limits of their own knowledge was exposed, which is more damning for someone called an "expert."
- TheTrotters 6y agoAnd in time-sensitive situations getting something "ultimately right" is akin to getting it wrong.
- ndiscussion 6y agoSpot on, a broken clock looks correct twice a day. I have zero confidence that they're actually correct this time.
- nickthemagicman 6y agoWhich experts got it right? The Swedish epidemiological team? The state of Florida epidemiological team? Both regions of whom had better outcome per capita with less Covid restrictions than numerous states who followed the mainstream 'experts' advice. How do you measure 'got it right'?
- robocat 6y agoCut n pasting the same comment[1][2] multiple times is rude IMHO. I believe that there is a lot of noise in the numbers, and a large numbers of causal factors. Florida or Sweden could easily be random outliers, or that the actual reasons could not be due to the cause and effect you are using as an “explanation”. [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25740965 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25740965 [2] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25740976 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25740976
- nickthemagicman 6y agoThere's a combined total of around 30 million people in those places. That's a decent enough population size to to make me wonder why places with a lot more draconian restrictions have worse covid outcomes. I don't know if noise is a sufficient explanation to me for 30 million people.