4 ms·
Does the model predict or account for the Oklahoma Federal building bombing (1996, 168 people killed)?
by wombatmobile 6y ago
Does the model predict or account for the Oklahoma Federal building bombing (1996, 168 people killed)?
- JPLeRouzic 6y agoIt seems to be taken in account. From the article: "Thus, although the most common fatality rate per event was 1 (48% of cases), in rare cases the ‘butcher bill’ could run into hundreds (less than 1% of events had a fatality rate of 100 or more). As a result, the rare but bloody events have a disproportionate effect on the trajectory. A good example of this effect is the latest ‘peak’ in the trajectory (during the 1990s) – it is entirely due to 168 deaths associated with a single event, the 1995 Oklahoma City bombing."