> They successfully detect 2 of 4 schemes, no better than a coin toss. Let’s be real here if I developed an indicator that identified murderers and I showed yo

> They successfully detect 2 of 4 schemes, no better than a coin toss. Let’s be real here if I developed an indicator that identified murderers and I showed you that out of the last 4 murders happened in US, I identified 2 of them using this identifier, would you say that I did no better than a coin toss? There is a lot more to this than just going yes/no when presented after the fact with a situation that you feel that you know for sure is a pump-and-dump.