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No American administration ever thought "let's placate Beijing because we are too scared of them getting angry". Every time the decision to compromise with Beij
by _cs2017_ 6y ago
No American administration ever thought "let's placate Beijing because we are too scared of them getting angry". Every time the decision to compromise with Beijing was made based on a certain trade-off.
This is no different today. The US military and civilian experts believe that if Taiwan declares independence, Beijing will use its military to take control of Taiwan, regardless of the US involvement. US presidents do not want several million people to die for the cause of Taiwan independence. Of course, most presidents do not care much about Chinese or Taiwanese deaths, but they do care that this will hurt the US economy and business interests; and depending on how things play out, thousands of Americans may also die, which is bad for reelection.
In other words, the US administrations do not want Taiwan to declare independence. They do, however, like to use Taiwan as a pawn in their games with China, just like they would use an aircraft carrier near the Chinese coast. They also like to use Taiwan as a pawn in the internal US political wars, for example by creating difficulties for the opposite party before that party takes over the White House.
- 99_00 6y ago>The US military and civilian experts believe that if Taiwan declares independence, Beijing will use its military to take control of Taiwan Taiwan considers its self to be China. What are they going to declare themselves independent from?
- toast0 6y agoRather than declaring independence, Taiwan could grant independence to mainland China.
- perennate 6y agoCurrently PRC pressures Taiwan to maintain the status quo, which is that both the PRC and ROC are different factions of the same country. While Taiwan ending official "claims" to the mainland might be seen by the PRC as slightly less bold than declaring independence, the PRC would likely implement the same damaging economic sanctions and increased military threats, so in this case Taiwan might as well declare independence.
- _cs2017_ 6y agohttps://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taiwan_independence_movement https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taiwan_independence_movement