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I respond below why invasion is not necessary, reunification through whatever means is preferable, but ultimately Chinese goals is for Taiwan not to be a strate
by dirtyid 6y ago
I respond below why invasion is not necessary, reunification through whatever means is preferable, but ultimately Chinese goals is for Taiwan not to be a strategic liability, and for that they can glass Taiwan into Yemen indefinitely without landing a single boot on the ground if US/Taiwan relation ever threatens Chinese security. US goal is to contain China, that's extremely difficult medium/long term without war, even if it means sacrificing Taiwan in the first place. This move is engineered to sacrifice Taiwan for an eventual confrontation that benefits US short/medium term force balance. Pompeo is fishing for war. Taiwan is the bait.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25707318 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25707318
- throw384742 6y agoIntermarriage between Mainland Chinese and Taiwanese is extremely high. Among my Taiwanese friends, almost a third are married to Mainlanders (and even more have dated). Even if this doesn't lead to reunification, at the very least it'll maintain the status quo.
- dirtyid 6y agoPeaceful status quo is best, I find TW friends generally sensible about cross strait relations. PRC less so. But TW nationalism / independence is good election platform, and status quo is always elections away from being disrupted. Then there's also the 2049 deadline and PRC domestic politics. Xi wants premature reunion to cement his legacy, I doubt he'll be ruling at 105 years old, hopefully he comes to his senses. That said, this was long time coming. 92 consensus facade could only work for so long. It's hard to see what the next viable framework would be.