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To be fair, it's only the second most delusional thing in that particular post after "the statistical probability of Biden getting more votes than Obama, but on
by notahacker 6y ago
To be fair, it's only the second most delusional thing in that particular post after "the statistical probability of Biden getting more votes than Obama, but only in the 5 states that mattered being one to quadrillions...". It's almost as if believing this was so important it wasn't worth checking which states Biden did actually better and worse in
- bluesummers 6y agoThe first time I ever saw that stat brought up was in Andrew Gelman's blog (https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/12/08/the-p-value-is-4-76x10%E2%88%92264-1-in-a-quadrillion/ https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/12/08/the-p-valu...) and it really is dismaying how easily you can use use statistics irresponsibly to back up specious arguments. Hypothesis tests only work if the null is reasonable...