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> Yes, the author is debating a straw man. No, the author is debating crazy people: > Unfortunately, the pandemic has permanently broken every economic chart
by throw0101a 6y ago
> Yes, the author is debating a straw man.
No, the author is debating crazy people:
> Unfortunately, the pandemic has permanently broken every economic chart in existence.
> But if we take away the outlier 2020 data points, the average real annual GDP growth from 2010-2019 was 2.3%. The inflation rate in that time averaged roughly 1.8% per year.
> If you’re one of the conspiracy people who believe inflation has actually been running at 5-6% per year, that would assume the economy has been contracting by 1-3% per year over the past 10 years.
> And if you’re a full tinfoil hat person who assumes inflation is actually 10-12% per year[fn2], that’s like saying we’ve been in a full-blown depression and the economy has lost 80% of its value.
> This is absurd and patently false but that’s the claim you’re making if you really think inflation is this high.
[fn2] then points to a tweet:
* https://twitter.com/tanayj/status/1345080274107785216?s=20 https://twitter.com/tanayj/status/1345080274107785216?s=20
Which has inflation at 10-12%, per:
* https://chapwoodindex.com/ https://chapwoodindex.com/
The creator of this report is Ed Butowsky:
* https://chapwoodindex.com/contact-us/ https://chapwoodindex.com/contact-us/
Butowsky is one of the people who put forward the idea that the DNC murdered Seth Rich for Hillary's Wikileaks e-mails:
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ed_Butowsky#Murder_of_Seth_Rich_conspiracy_theories https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ed_Butowsky#Murder_of_Seth_Ric...
If GDP was growth for the last decade was "only" ~2.5%, then how could have inflation been higher than that? It would have meant we were in a recession/depression.
- TheTrotters 6y agoYeah, and the claim that inflation has been at 10-12% per year for the past 5 years is so ridiculous that it can be discarded without any analysis. If they claimed that inflation is, say, 3.5% instead of ~2% then we could look at their arguments. But to claim that it's at ~10-12% is a little like claiming that all our thermometers are faulty and it's actually 40 degrees Celsius outside. Complete detachment from reality.