4 ms·
This is really, really not true. Advertising lift has been well studied, especially in metastudies spanning hundreds of digital campaigns across Facebook and Go
by mlthoughts2018 6y ago
This is really, really not true. Advertising lift has been well studied, especially in metastudies spanning hundreds of digital campaigns across Facebook and Google. These are independent academic metastudies, with hundreds of millions of impression data samples.
Positive lift in the range of 0-20% is very common, and many statistical aspects of causal inference on ad impacts are well understood.
Negative lift and flat campaigns are real phenomena too, and it does deserve more widespread publicity that negative lift happens in an appreciable number of campaigns, but that doesn’t take away from the overwhelming evidence that digital advertising works and that the mechanics of positive lift are well studied.
Here are two of the foundational papers in this area:
- https://www.kellogg.northwestern.edu/faculty/gordon_b/files/kellogg_fb_whitepaper.pdf https://www.kellogg.northwestern.edu/faculty/gordon_b/files/...
- https://www8.gsb.columbia.edu/media/sites/media/files/Garrett%20Johnson%20paper.pdf https://www8.gsb.columbia.edu/media/sites/media/files/Garret...
Particularly Figure 1 (page 26) in the second link. That figure alone utterly refutes any nonsense claim that digital advertising doesn’t have provably positive ROI.
- jedberg 6y agoDid you read the transcript the for episode and the associated links and notes? They back up their claims with studies of their own as well as metanalysis.
- Reebz 6y agoI did, and I think there's a lot of p-hacking going on. Leading with TV advertising is disingenuous at best. The ebay example twists the concept of user acquisition (new customers) and purchases (new or old customers). It is a common tactic to buy advertisements defensively, for example, if you're a product manager, and have determined that some of your user base are more transactional rather than frequent. Another pet peeve I have is how they conflate direct response advertising and marketing.
- mlthoughts2018 6y agoIt would seem their backing research and metastudy totally missed the boat and ignored well-known academic experts on the matter. I definitely trust the academic studies over an entertainment podcast.