3 ms·

I'm sure thepangolino was talking about deaths worldwide, and it's probably true. Here in the developed world, where COVID was an aberration, it's easy to forge

I'm sure thepangolino was talking about deaths worldwide, and it's probably true. Here in the developed world, where COVID was an aberration, it's easy to forget that it was barely a blip in Africa. "Diarrhea kills 2,195 children every day—more than AIDS, malaria, and measles combined."[1] "In 2016, diarrhoea was the eighth leading cause of death among all ages (1 655 944 deaths, 95% uncertainty interval [UI] 1 244 073–2 366 552)"[2] 1: https://www.cdc.gov/healthywater/global/diarrhea-burden.html https://www.cdc.gov/healthywater/global/diarrhea-burden.html 2: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(18)30362-1/fulltext https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3...

sdenton4 6y ago
OTOH: 'A Continent Where the Dead Aren't Counted' https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/02/world/africa/africa-coronavirus-deaths-underreporting.html?searchResultPosition=2 https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/02/world/africa/africa-coron... Tl;dr: Reporting of deaths is incredibly irregular across Africa, and counting excess deaths is likely impossible as a result. The population is younger on average, which likely helps, but we probably don't know the real numbers there.
- leereeves 6y ago
  There are still doctors and hospitals there who would see a huge increase in deaths due to respiratory illness, if one occurred. According to your source, they haven't: > “The mortality due to Covid in the African continent is not a major public issue,” said Dorian Job, the West Africa program manager for Doctors Without Borders. The rest of that article is just speculation that there might be an outbreak that isn't being recorded, with little evidence.
coderintherye 6y ago
Even if they did, based on the source you pointed to (CDC) and their estimate of Covid deaths, Covid killed more people in 2020 than diarrhea killed in 2016 (1.834 million vs. 1.655 million). CDC data is at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#global-counts-rates https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#global-counts-rate... And comes from JHU https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html

sdenton4 6y ago

OTOH: 'A Continent Where the Dead Aren't Counted' https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/02/world/africa/africa-coronavirus-deaths-underreporting.html?searchResultPosition=2 https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/02/world/africa/africa-coron... Tl;dr: Reporting of deaths is incredibly irregular across Africa, and counting excess deaths is likely impossible as a result. The population is younger on average, which likely helps, but we probably don't know the real numbers there.

leereeves 6y ago
There are still doctors and hospitals there who would see a huge increase in deaths due to respiratory illness, if one occurred. According to your source, they haven't: > “The mortality due to Covid in the African continent is not a major public issue,” said Dorian Job, the West Africa program manager for Doctors Without Borders. The rest of that article is just speculation that there might be an outbreak that isn't being recorded, with little evidence.

coderintherye 6y ago

Even if they did, based on the source you pointed to (CDC) and their estimate of Covid deaths, Covid killed more people in 2020 than diarrhea killed in 2016 (1.834 million vs. 1.655 million). CDC data is at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#global-counts-rates https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#global-counts-rate... And comes from JHU https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html