4 ms·
> If we assume the market is efficiently pricing these assets (like AirBnB's IPO) then it could very well be that the actual value of a fiat dollar has dropped
by arbuge 6y ago
> If we assume the market is efficiently pricing these assets (like AirBnB's IPO) then it could very well be that the actual value of a fiat dollar has dropped dramatically
Note that many other assets such as energy, financial, and real estate stocks, consumer goods, etc. are not experiencing sky-high valuations - indeed, some of those asset classes are down for the year.
So it's not just fiat dollars that have dropped dramatically in value by your reasoning.
It seems to me more likely the market is simply overpricing one class of assets (tech stocks) here. Occam's Razor comes to mind.
- keithwhor 6y agoOverpricing one class of assets is functionally equivalent to underpricing the other classes. Facing inflation, money will aggregate first in the assets most likely to maintain + outpace an increase in monetary supply. Once they start appearing too overpriced, the overflow will affect other industries. I'd invoke Occam's Razor to state that inflation due to increase in monetary supply is more likely to manifest as "overpricing" of one or two asset classes first. As opposed to a crash, where one asset class bottoms out and takes the other with it, stimulus and inflation, in theory, would cause the opposite -- would they not? I haven't studied hyperinflation. So consider me inquisitive on the subject. But it's certainly happened before, and the dynamics seem like they have the potential to create a positive feedback loop similar to a crash.
- sunshinerag 6y agowell said.!!