4 ms·

So you think that we've just been lucky so far and that the breakthroughs are going to dry up soon?

• coldtea 6y ago
  No, I think luck has little to do with it, but same for any kind of "guarantee" from nature that we anything close to unlimited potential, we're "bound to" colonise the universe, and so on... The historical transitions are too few to make any general observation from (as in "we'll always make it" just because we succesfully transitioned 2-3 times). Then there are the concepts and realities of limited resources (minerals, food production restrictions, etc.), externalities (e.g. pollution), low hanging fruit, diminishing returns (e.g. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eroom%27s_law https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eroom%27s_law), and so on. Lots of other considerations, e.g. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_paradox#It_is_the_nature_of_intelligent_life_to_destroy_itself https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_paradox#It_is_the_nature... (even at the moment, on top of shitty developments like climate change and pollution, we already have enough nuclear bombs to take civilization back 1000 years, ways to develop biological attacks, and other such niceties).