> The number of Nobel Prizes establishes a lower bound on the number of “Nobel Prize worthy discoveries”. No, it really doesn't establish anything. They give t

> The number of Nobel Prizes establishes a lower bound on the number of “Nobel Prize worthy discoveries”. No, it really doesn't establish anything. They give them out every year in predictable numbers, whether there is a big discovery available, or many, has nothing to do with that. In fact, I'd argue that the number of Nobels given out is independent of scientific progress, real or perceived.