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So I’m a perfectly healthy 65 year old, and there is a perfectly healthy 25 year old.* Could you explain how to use QALY to decide whether lockdowns are worth t
by onethought 6y ago
So I’m a perfectly healthy 65 year old, and there is a perfectly healthy 25 year old.* Could you explain how to use QALY to decide whether lockdowns are worth the (very treatable) risk of mental health deterioration vs not locking down and facing the very untreatable risk of death?
*(Actually there are 10,000s of each)
- jozvolskyef 6y agoThe report I'm quoting[1] estimates the lockdown scenario to cost 182k QALYs in mental disorders, 190k QALYs in musculoskeletal disorders, and 157k QALYs in cardiovascular disorders.[1] Note that if your only risk factor is being 65 years old, implying you are female, it isn't necessarily the case that covid impacts you worse than lockdown. [1]: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/907616/s0650-direct-indirect-impacts-covid-19-excess-deaths-morbidity-sage-48.pdf https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/...