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I don't understand people taking any unnecessary risks right now when vaccines are being administered as we speak. Holidays are an arbitrary thing, and will com

I don't understand people taking any unnecessary risks right now when vaccines are being administered as we speak. Holidays are an arbitrary thing, and will come again next year. Just hold on for a few more months.

andyv 6y ago
The math doesn't look too good, at least in the US. There are currently about 100,000 vaccinations a day in the US. Ignoring the vaccines that need two doses, vaccinating 300 million people at that rate will take 3,000 days = 100 months = 8.3 years. At 1 million vaccinations/day, we're still looking at 300 days = 10 months. Logistics is not my thing, but a tenfold increase in vaccations may be a little optimistic. Better than an infinite wait, though. I got a robocall from my regular pharmacy the other day, telling me that they would be involved in distributing covid vaccines "soon". So I am definitely going along with the main idea about acting as if everyone I know (or run into on the street) has tested positive.
- qndreoi 6y ago
  When the adults take charge in a few weeks, things will go much faster. Six million New Yorkers got smallpox vaccinations in one month in 1947. There is no leadership now. https://www.insidehook.com/daily_brief/history/new-york-smallpox-vaccine https://www.insidehook.com/daily_brief/history/new-york-smal...
  - Trasmatta 6y ago
    Yeah, I'm expecting it to step up significantly soon. I keep seeing people doing back of the envelope calculations to determine how long it will take to vaccinate everyone at the current rate, but it's pretty obvious that it's not going to just continue at the current rate. It's a huge missed opportunity that we weren't better prepared from the get go, given we've had all year to get ready, but it will get better.
claydavisss 6y ago
At the current rate of immunization, it will be years before we can achieve 90% coverage. This isn't hyperbole, it has been detailed in recent critical assessments of Operation Warp Speed. Young people have sacrificed enough for the elderly and obese already.
njanirudh 6y ago
Maybe you have super positive thinking... But most of people I know don't care enough to stop their life completely for something without an expiry date. Ofc we stay away from family and are in non risk age. And your assumption that things will go back to normal is not true. There are many companies, industries and places that will never return back to normal after this pandemic.
- Trasmatta 6y ago
  > But most of people I know don't care enough to stop their life completely for something without an expiry date. Except there is an expiry date, the date you get the vaccine (or at least, a week or two after you get the second dose). And for most people, that should happen by this summer. If there were no vaccine on the horizon, then yeah, things would need to be different. It doesn't make rational sense to be taking any unnecessary risks when people are getting vaccinated as we speak. In 10 years, will you regret being extra careful for a few more months? No, but there's the potential that you could regret not being careful for the rest of your life. > And your assumption that things will go back to normal is not true I didn't say anything about normality on my post. All I talked about was the vaccine.

andyv 6y ago

The math doesn't look too good, at least in the US. There are currently about 100,000 vaccinations a day in the US. Ignoring the vaccines that need two doses, vaccinating 300 million people at that rate will take 3,000 days = 100 months = 8.3 years. At 1 million vaccinations/day, we're still looking at 300 days = 10 months. Logistics is not my thing, but a tenfold increase in vaccations may be a little optimistic. Better than an infinite wait, though. I got a robocall from my regular pharmacy the other day, telling me that they would be involved in distributing covid vaccines "soon". So I am definitely going along with the main idea about acting as if everyone I know (or run into on the street) has tested positive.

qndreoi 6y ago
When the adults take charge in a few weeks, things will go much faster. Six million New Yorkers got smallpox vaccinations in one month in 1947. There is no leadership now. https://www.insidehook.com/daily_brief/history/new-york-smallpox-vaccine https://www.insidehook.com/daily_brief/history/new-york-smal...
- Trasmatta 6y ago
  Yeah, I'm expecting it to step up significantly soon. I keep seeing people doing back of the envelope calculations to determine how long it will take to vaccinate everyone at the current rate, but it's pretty obvious that it's not going to just continue at the current rate. It's a huge missed opportunity that we weren't better prepared from the get go, given we've had all year to get ready, but it will get better.

claydavisss 6y ago

At the current rate of immunization, it will be years before we can achieve 90% coverage. This isn't hyperbole, it has been detailed in recent critical assessments of Operation Warp Speed. Young people have sacrificed enough for the elderly and obese already.

njanirudh 6y ago

Maybe you have super positive thinking... But most of people I know don't care enough to stop their life completely for something without an expiry date. Ofc we stay away from family and are in non risk age. And your assumption that things will go back to normal is not true. There are many companies, industries and places that will never return back to normal after this pandemic.

Trasmatta 6y ago
> But most of people I know don't care enough to stop their life completely for something without an expiry date. Except there is an expiry date, the date you get the vaccine (or at least, a week or two after you get the second dose). And for most people, that should happen by this summer. If there were no vaccine on the horizon, then yeah, things would need to be different. It doesn't make rational sense to be taking any unnecessary risks when people are getting vaccinated as we speak. In 10 years, will you regret being extra careful for a few more months? No, but there's the potential that you could regret not being careful for the rest of your life. > And your assumption that things will go back to normal is not true I didn't say anything about normality on my post. All I talked about was the vaccine.