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People keep saying that lockdown and elimination strategies only work on islands, but I've yet to hear a compelling narrative why that should be the case. The
by NickNameNick 6y ago
People keep saying that lockdown and elimination strategies only work on islands, but I've yet to hear a compelling narrative why that should be the case.
The only variations in the effectiveness of a lockdown strategy should be due to
- Household size
- Compliance levels
- Duration
Covered population, and population density should be completely irrelevant.
You also need a seperate and ongoing strategy to prevent re-introduction, and an outbreak management strategy, but those are seperate concerns.
Ideally, if your neighbouring countries/states/whatever were similarly effective, then re-introduction management shouldn't be too difficult (cf 'pacific travel bubble', etc).
- josephcsible 6y ago> but I've yet to hear a compelling narrative why that should be the case. Why does that matter? We can be confident that something is true without being sure why. We aren't sure what dark energy is, but just from empirical evidence we've observed, we do know that the universe is expanding at an accelerating rate. How is this situation different?