3 ms·
> Nick Kristoff at the NYT predicted we might have more than 1m deaths by the end of the summer. This would be a considerably better prediction than the idea t
by wwweston 6y ago
> Nick Kristoff at the NYT predicted we might have more than 1m deaths by the end of the summer.
This would be a considerably better prediction than the idea that asymptomatic spread can't be serious factor; it'd be merely off by a factor of 6 whereas I'm honestly not sure how anyone with a high school biology education could dismiss the possibility that a viral infection might be contagious and asymptomatic.
And I don't know when Kristoff's prediction was made, but if it was before June, given a NYC-centric perspective it's a credible projection absent changes of behavior and treatment advances, both of which we got in modest degrees (probably around a factor of 6).
Plenty of wrong to go around? Sure. Some parties seem to be carrying more of the plenty.